石油化工高等学校学报

石油化工高等学校学报 ›› 2007, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (3): 20-23.

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基于牛顿插值和神经网络的时间序列预测研究

杜 洋   

  1. 辽宁科技大学电子与信息工程学院, 辽宁鞍山114044
  • 收稿日期:2007-02-05 出版日期:2007-09-20 发布日期:2017-07-05
  • 作者简介:杜洋(1972 -), 女, 辽宁鞍山市, 工程师, 硕士
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学资金项目(60474058)。

Research of Time Series Fo recast ing Based on New ton Interpolation and Neural Netwo rk

  1. School of Electronic and Information Engineering, University of Science and Technology Liaoning,Anshan Liaoning 114044,P.R.China
  • Received:2007-02-05 Published:2007-09-20 Online:2017-07-05

摘要: 在时间序列法基础上应用插值理论和神经网络建立一种新的预测模型。首先采用插值法拟合历史
销售数据并求出大量的数据训练神经网络, 弥补了历史数据缺乏的问题;然后用训练好的神经网络代替传统的最小
二乘法拟合时间序列因素, 从而求出预测值。仿真结果表明, 此模型能够有效地改善模型的拟合能力并提高预测精
度。

关键词: 牛顿插值 , 神经网络 , 时间序列 , 预测

Abstract:

A new prediction model was proposed by Newton interpolation and neural network based on time series. Firstly, history sales data were fitted by Newton interpolation and neural network was trained by mass data, which makes up for the deficiency of history data. Secondly, time series factors were fitted by substituting the trained neural network for traditional least-squares methods to obtain the predictor. Simulation result shows the fitting capacity and the prediction precision of the model is effectively improved.

Key words:

引用本文

杜 洋. 基于牛顿插值和神经网络的时间序列预测研究[J]. 石油化工高等学校学报, 2007, 20(3): 20-23.

DU Yang. Research of Time Series Fo recast ing Based on New ton Interpolation and Neural Netwo rk[J]. Journal of Petrochemical Universities, 2007, 20(3): 20-23.

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