Abstract: Reducing energy-related carbon emissions while maintaining the industrial economic development was an inevitable choice for achieving sustainable development. Based on the extend Kaya identity and the logarithmic mean Divisia index method（LMDI）, a decoupling efforts decomposition model was constructed, which were adopted to analyze energy structure, energy intensity, industrial structure and industrial output for industrial carbon emissions impact and their relative decoupling efforts. The results showed that industrial output factor played a promoting role in industrial carbon emissions, energy intensity factor and industrial structure factor had some inhibitory effect, and energy structure factor's role was very limited. 2002—2012, Liaoning province was in a weak decoupling effort period, and the efforts was not ideal. 2012—2014, Liaoning province was in a strong decoupling effort period, the effects was significant for reducing carbon emissions.

Key words: Carbon emissions, Industrial growth, LMDI, Decoupling efforts

摘要： 保持工业经济持续发展的同时减少能源碳排放，是实现可持续发展的必然选择。以扩展的Kaya恒等式与LMDI分解法为基础，构建了脱钩努力分解模型，分别分析了能源结构、能源强度、工业结构和工业产出等因素对工业碳排放的影响及其相对脱钩努力效果。研究结果表明，工业产出因素促进工业碳排放，能源强度、工业结构因素主要抑制工业碳排放，能源结构因素对碳排放影响十分有限。2002—2012年，辽宁省处于弱脱钩努力时期，减排努力并不理想|2012—2014年，辽宁省处于强脱钩努力时期，减排努力显著。

关键词: 碳排放, 工业经济增长, LMDI分解法, 脱钩努力